Luca Castelnuovo vs Kuan-Yi Lee Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do their second serve performances compare? Castelnuovo has the edge with 45.71% success in the last six months, whereas Lee has managed 41.18%.
• Looking at return games, who is superior? Lee excels by capturing 45.87% of their opponent's second serve points compared to Castelnuovo's 42.93%. For first serve returns, Lee is again ahead, winning 26.76% as opposed to Castelnuovo’s 19.43%.
• Under pressure, who holds up better? Castelnuovo saves breakpoints 54.44% of the time, slightly higher than Lee’s 52.13%.
• Their recent performance shows Castelnuovo winning 65.28% of their matches over the past year, while Lee has secured 62.5% in the same timeframe.
• On indoor hard courts, Lee performs better with a 68% career win rate compared to Castelnuovo's 58%. Conversely, Lee’s weakest surface is hard courts with a 60% win rate, while Castelnuovo struggles most on grass, at 29%.
• Both players compete predominantly in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, with Castelnuovo winning 68.25% of matches compared to Lee’s 61.54% in the past year.
• The level of their opposition is fairly equal; Castelnuovo's opponents rank on average 422.69, slightly higher than Lee’s average opponent rank of 425.34.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Lee is somewhat more dependable, having won 50% of deciding sets, compared to Castelnuovo's 47% over the last year.
• Do they capitalize on break point opportunities effectively? Lee converts 33.81% of these chances, ahead of Castelnuovo’s 22.9%.

Editorial Prediction (September 17, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match appears to favor Lee in several critical areas. In recent forms, Lee leads in capturing break point opportunities, returning games, and managing first serve returns very effectively. These are decisive areas that often sway the results of close matches.

Castelnuovo showcases superior second serve effectiveness and resilience under pressure, with a slightly higher breakpoint save rate. With similar levels of competition faced and performance in indicative settings like deciding sets, the players remain closely matched overall.

Although Castelnuovo has an overall higher match win percentage over the past year, Lee's prowess on indoor hard courts and conversion efficiency in tense moments suggests a slight edge.

Taking into account the return game superiority and contextual strengths, Lee is predicted to be the likely winner of the upcoming tennis match.